YouGov: 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2026
Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by YouGov.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Clear | crosstabs published |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we could not read the how people were reached in this poll's documents |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we could not read the weighting in this poll's documents |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 8 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 3,625 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Clear | first listed 1 days after fieldwork ended |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 3625 | “3,625 Texas Likely Voters” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-09-28 | “Conducted September 28 - October 5, 2026” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-10-05 | “Conducted September 28 - October 5, 2026” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Not checked | |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “Texas General Election 2026 – Likely Voters” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Not disclosed | |
| Margin of error | 3 | “Margin of Error ±3%” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Not checked | |
| Party mix of the sample | Democrat 26%; Republican 41%; Independent 28%; Other 3%; Not sure 2% | “Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?” (document, page 1) |
| Age mix of the sample | 18-29 13%; 30-44 24%; 45-64 35%; 65+ 28% | “Respondent age by category” (document, page 2) |
| Region mix of the sample | Not disclosed | |
| Ballot question wording | Who [did / will / would] you vote for in the election for Governor of Texas? | “Who [did / will / would] you vote for in the election for Governor of Texas?” (document, page 2) |
| Question order | Not disclosed | |
| Crosstabs | yes | “Who [did / will / would] you vote for in the election for Governor of Texas?” (document, page 11) |
| Where respondents came from | voter-file | “Stratified random sample of voters selected from a list of Texas registered voters” (document, page 12) |
Documents
- Topline: https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_tx_20260921_lv.pdf (kept a copy)