Texas poll check

Governor, general election

Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research: 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2026

Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 895 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 9 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size895 “Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research completed a total of 895 interviews. In the weighted data,” (document, page 2)
Field start date2026-08-30 “Field dates: August 30 - September 1, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-09-01 “Field dates: August 30 - September 1, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “40% of the interviews were conducted via cell phone, 15% were conducted via landlines, and” (document, page 2)
Who was surveyedlv “TOTAL sample size Total likely voters 18+ - 895” (document, page 1)
SponsorAARP “which is being conducted on behalf of AARP.” (document, page 13)
Margin of error3.3 “± 3.3 pct pts for total population” (document, page 1)
Weightinggeographic distribution, age, gender, education, race/ethnicity, 2024 election results “Age and gender weights were applied based on Data Trust voter registration database statistics.” (document, page 3)
Party mix of the sampleRepublican 39; Independent Or Unaffiliated 29; Democrat 28; Something Else 2; Don't Know/Refused 1 (Total) “With which political party are you affiliated? (ROTATE 1-2)” (document, page 3)
Age mix of the sample18-34: 18; 35-44: 15; 45-54: 17; 55-64: 22; 65 And Above: 28 (Total) “65 And Above 28” (document, page 2)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingGovernor vote choice (Q22, asked of respondents who said undecided in the previous question): If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Greg Abbott, the Republican and Gina Hinojosa, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE) Greg Abbott, the Republican and Gina Hinojosa, the Democrat, for whom would you vote?” (document, page 6)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “Total 50+” (document, page 2)
Where respondents came fromvoter-file “Sampling was drawn randomly from a list of registered voters purchased from Data Trust” (document, page 3)

Documents